Corbin & Ben - Finals Finally

One in four? 15%? Buckley's? Each club's likelihood of winning the flag

Who will be the AFL premier in 2024? By the end of the month we'll have the answer to this question, but a month is a long time to wait! So, on the eve of finals, we've ranked all eight teams and given each their chance of winning the flag.

There's no exact science to this, rather current vibes and a gut feel on how each team's September campaign might unfold, taking into account input from Champion Data as well.

Corbin & Ben - Finals Finally

8. CARLTON (3% premiership chance)

It's easy to look at the spluttering Blues and write their premiership chances off completely, but the team that runs out to face Brisbane at the Gabba on Saturday night will be bolstered with quality across every line. There's real shades of the 2016 Bulldogs with this side. Now, they may make too many changes and it comes back to bite them, but if the mix is right, they are more than capable, as they proved last year, to go on a serious September run. When healthy, Carlton was sitting second on the ladder. So we have proof of concept they can mix it with the best sides in the league. The Lions at the Gabba might be their toughest challenge. Win it, and their premiership odds are cut in half ... and in half again. It's unlikely, but it's certainly possible.

       ABC AFL Commentators Corbin Middlemas and Ben Cameron with a last minute look at the finals series ahead. Who fits in the Premiership window? Which outcome are you most confident of? All of the other news is in hot news / not news. Former Carlton captain and 300-gamer Marc Murphy joins to discuss his close friend Sam Docherty's remarkable comeback amongst other things. Plus the boys give their mark and goal of the year tips from the three finalists.